×A side to be on: failStage 1 is No Signal, not confirmed.Buying without a side is paying decay to guess.
×Independent agreement: fail0 of 3 independent checks agree.One signal can be noise. Two independent ones rarely are.
✓What you pay for vol: passIV 14.4% vs realized 12.2% — fair or cheap.
≈Which way dealers push: cautionPositive — dealers damp the daily range.Dealer hedging either carries your move or fades it.
✓Time to work: passExpiry day.
—A way out: unknownNo liquidity reading.A position you cannot exit at a fair price is not a position.
×Been right before: fail38% on 2184 closed trades.A system with no track record is a claim, not evidence.